Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.014081 0.016352 0.018858 0.021827 0.025248 0.029063 0.033641
2026-01-18 0.010630 0.013545 0.017057 0.021592 0.027289 0.034199 0.043215
2026-01-25 0.008182 0.011303 0.015359 0.021001 0.028631 0.038577 0.052513
2026-02-01 0.006527 0.009685 0.014072 0.020588 0.029991 0.043038 0.062485
2026-02-08 0.005375 0.008502 0.013115 0.020376 0.031475 0.047750 0.073368
2026-02-15 0.004426 0.007423 0.012092 0.019840 0.032317 0.051548 0.083340
2026-02-22 0.003961 0.007003 0.011980 0.020642 0.035254 0.058800 0.099463
2026-03-01 0.003429 0.006372 0.011414 0.020587 0.036752 0.063900 0.112727
2026-03-08 0.002884 0.005618 0.010513 0.019804 0.036865 0.066661 0.122339
2026-03-15 0.002519 0.005130 0.010000 0.019613 0.037954 0.071165 0.135459
2026-03-22 0.002365 0.005016 0.010148 0.020651 0.041402 0.080236 0.157870
2026-03-29 0.002173 0.004795 0.010057 0.021206 0.043984 0.087979 0.178675
2026-04-05 0.001883 0.004328 0.009422 0.020610 0.044274 0.091491 0.191956
2026-04-12 0.001669 0.003990 0.009004 0.020399 0.045314 0.096598 0.209055
2026-04-19 0.001457 0.003620 0.008462 0.019844 0.045551 0.100094 0.223265
2026-04-26 0.001287 0.003320 0.008026 0.019457 0.046089 0.104263 0.239383
2026-05-03 0.001152 0.003081 0.007696 0.019258 0.047013 0.109347 0.258071
2026-05-10 0.001016 0.002815 0.007263 0.018751 0.047152 0.112700 0.273262
2026-05-17 0.000966 0.002765 0.007345 0.019510 0.050397 0.123468 0.306773
2026-05-24 0.000879 0.002601 0.007117 0.019459 0.051650 0.129737 0.330396
2026-05-31 0.000771 0.002357 0.006648 0.018717 0.051069 0.131555 0.343463
2026-06-07 0.000699 0.002207 0.006404 0.018536 0.051907 0.136931 0.365969
2026-06-14 0.000679 0.002208 0.006578 0.019519 0.055955 0.150803 0.411616